By Trevor Mahoney for The General
For the modern driver, auto insurance can seem frustratingly complex. It can feel like premiums are always on the rise and the insurance market seems perpetually unpredictable, making planning estimated costs challenging.
The steep increases in rates experienced in recent years seem to finally be stabilizing. A new factor on the horizon, though, threatens to have its own unpredictable impact on insurance rates: advanced technology in vehicles. The General dives into the data forecasts gathered by J.D. Power, Consumer Reports, Bankrate, and other leading sources to help you prepare. By predicting where insurance rates may be headed in the future, you can build out a more accurate budget and prepare for the unknown.
Current state of auto insurance: Market stabilization after years of increases
The insurance industry has historically been unprofitable, leading insurers to increase premiums to account for the shortfall. But after several years, the industry was finally able to be profitable in 2025, according to J.D. Power’s 2025 U.S. Auto Insurance study. This has set the stage for insurance firms to now halt rate increases and place a concerted emphasis on improving customer satisfaction. With a 38% marketplace-wide dissatisfaction rate reported in the study, this effort will likely be the focus of insurers for the foreseeable future.
Rate trends and national averages
The all-in cost of auto insurance is a figure that can vary wildly depending on numerous factors. However, insurance rate data gathered across the marketplace by Bankrate found that the national average cost for full coverage was $2,638 in 2025, representing a 12% year-over-year increase from 2024.
However, this number assumes a driver has a clean record, strong financials, and a solid driving history. There are six common life events and situations that helped drive these rates higher for some, on an average basis nationally, as outlined in the report:
- A credit score decrease added $2,006 annually
- Receiving a speeding ticket added $565 annually
- Causing an accident added $1,136 annually
- Having a lapse in insurance coverage added $251 annually
- Being convicted of a DUI added $2,467 annually
- Needing to ensure a teen driver added $3,037 annually
Personal insurance rates can vary drastically depending on a person’s life situation and geography.
State-by-state variations
The Bankrate report breaks down the impact of insurance costs, as a percentage of income spent, on a state-by-state basis. The five states with the most expensive insurance rates in 2025 based upon this data are:
- Louisiana – 6.83% of income spent
- Florida – 5.69% of income spent
- New York – 4.77% of income spent
- Nevada – 4.66% of income spent
- Michigan – 4.53% of income spent
By comparison, residents of Hawaii enjoy the bottom-most percent of income spent on insurance at just 1.77%.
Key factors driving premium changes in 2025
Though the auto insurance industry just achieved profitability, many experts concur that stability may not last. There are three primary factors that early research data indicates may force industry-wide price shifts through the end of 2025 and beyond:
Economic pressures and tariffs
As highlighted in the J.D. Power study, the auto insurance industry was historically unprofitable. This economic impact forced insurers to hike rates to increase revenue to survive. For rates to begin to come down from this elevated level, economic conditions would need to improve for profitability to be maintained.
However, the recent sweeping tariffs implemented under the Trump Administration could affect how auto insurance rates change in the future. Overarching economic conditions take pricing control out of insurers’ hands and may lead to additional hikes in the future.
Climate change and extreme weather
One often overlooked impact on car insurance rates is climate change, specifically in reference to the increasing frequency of extreme weather events. Increased occurrences of events such as flash floods, fires, hurricanes, and more can correspondingly increase the risk of vehicle damage.
As more claims start to flood the insurance market, it will be only natural to see price hikes in regions with inclement weather. Should the effects of climate change worsen, rates in these weather regions would naturally increase and could also extend to price hikes across more of the country.
Rising repair costs and supply chain issues
When considering insurance rates, insurers look at the make and model of a car in question. Should that make and model have a large number of claims with expensive associated repair jobs, the insurance rate for the car will be higher due to greater perceived risk.
Similarly, if a vehicle is extremely rare or makes use of parts that aren’t widely available, insurance rates will also be higher. This is because supply chain issues pose additional risk.
How vehicle technology affects insurance costs
A unique new factor poised to impact car insurance rates is the amount of new technology being used in vehicles. Tools like blind spot sensors, automatic lane correction, self-driving capabilities, and more have revolutionized safety on the road. In fact, advanced driver-assistance systems and autonomous-driving systems could create $300 billion to $400 billion in revenue by 2035, according to a 2023 study. Unfortunately, this comes at a cost when it comes to insurance.
The double-edged sword of high-tech vehicles
High-tech equipment installed into modern cars bolsters safety on the road, which is excellent for drivers. From an insurance perspective, however, this results in a more expensive vehicle. In the event that a vehicle gets into a crash, the repair costs associated with replacing high-tech parts will likely be higher than older features.
Insurers need to account for this when offering coverage rates for the car, meaning high-tech vehicles are more likely to come with a high insurance cost. As more and more of these vehicles come to market, insurance rates across the board may rise as a result.
Electric vehicle insurance consideration
Those with electric vehicles may be wondering about forecasted insurance rates. Similar to vehicles with advanced technology, EVs utilize highly advanced batteries to propel them forward on the road. These batteries are powerful enough to allow many EVs to travel hundreds of miles without needing to charge, but they come at a cost. The batteries used under the hood of an EV can cost as much as half the car itself, meaning insurers are far more likely to declare the vehicle a loss in a crash.
Record shopping and switching patterns
Having an EV isn’t necessarily a bad thing for your wallet from an insurance perspective; it just means you should exercise more caution when picking a policy. Shopping and switching of insurance plans among long-tenured customers rose 35% year-over-year at the end of 2024. A factor in this trend has been the increase in EVs on the road and drivers being unsatisfied with their current insurance provider’s policies towards these vehicles.
Car insurance costs can make up a large portion of your annual or monthly budget, especially with rates at record highs. Drivers should use this temporary pause in rate movement as a chance to evaluate their current insurance plan and find ways to reduce costs where possible in order to reduce the financial impact.
Proven strategies to lower auto insurance costs
Coverage adjustments and policy management
How you choose to manage your policy will play a major role in the total cost you pay for insurance. For perspective, a 2024 Consumer Reports auto insurance survey found that simply increasing your deductible by $500 can reduce your annual premiums by 20-25%. Additionally, when the premium on your vehicle is more than 10% of the car’s remaining value, dropping collision and comprehensive coverage can save up to $1,165 per year.
Any adjustments you opt to make to your policy should be considered carefully, as there can be real-world impacts in the event of a crash.
Discount opportunities
Some insurers allow the chance to receive discounted rates. Taking a defensive driving course, for instance, is a common method for this if allowed by your insurance company. The Consumer Reports survey found that some states offer as much as a 10% discount on annual costs in return for passing this course. Drivers may wish to consult with their insurance company about any courses or discount opportunities that may be supported.
Shopping and comparison strategies
In the event you are comparing different insurance quotes, look at factors such as the deductible, premiums, what is included, and long-term costs to see which plan best suits your needs.
What to expect: Industry outlook for 2025-2026
Economic pressure stemming from tariffs, increased repair costs due to more advanced technology, and expected claims increases due to the effects of climate change are all predicted to hike auto insurance rates. However, the impact of these increased rates on the auto insurance industry as a whole is still unknown.
Market predictions
Currently, experts forecast that the auto insurance market will see a compound annual growth rate of 1.48% between 2025 and 2029. This will result in an estimated $997.74 billion, making the United States the fastest growing country in terms of gross written premiums.
Global influences are also forecasted to impact the market. Countries with increasing population density are seeing a rise in demand for auto insurance policies as a result of increased vehicle ownership, which some experts believe will offset potential impacts from near-term economic downturns.
Regulatory and policy considerations
From a regulatory perspective, the use of artificial intelligence in vehicles is many policymakers’ biggest concern. Security, privacy, and transparency are the biggest issues, primarily due to concerns regarding AI’s role in collecting that data under the hood. Additionally, insurance rates are meant to partially reflect driving behavior, but if AI is responsible for driving the vehicle, then it throws a wrench into how rates are calculated. Insurance regulators will need to consider evolving technology when thinking about how to evaluate and measure the fairness of current market rates.
Preparing for the future of auto insurance
Finally having reached profitability, rates in the auto insurance market seem to have finally stabilized. However, socioeconomic conditions are poised to have a near-term impact on rates, potentially making it more expensive to get an auto insurance policy depending on certain factors. Those who choose to invest in a high-tech vehicle or EV should be prepared to pay higher rates. With that said, taking action to reduce those rates by seeking out discounts, comparing different insurance plans, and managing an existing policy more effectively can lighten the burden.
This story was produced by The General and reviewed and distributed by Stacker.
